News are on the air that mortgage rates for average 30-year fixed loans are hiting low historical levels week after week. The current level of interest is of 4.58%, an unseen rate since the 50′s. But it seems that consumers are not responding as expected to this incredible opportunity. The reasons? “It’s the economy, stupid”, like Bill Clinton’s already famous quote during its first presidential campaign.
The economy. To start, employment is not looking too good. With low employment expectations, buyers save their money, looking forward to tought upcoming times. Then, it is the below 5% rates that have been available some fifteen months ago already, which have allowed many homeowners to refinance their loans before; they won’t refinance their loans now again if they have to pay high transaction costs (fees) to do so. Then, it is the tax credit, too. The tax credit gave April an unusual high level of sales, perhaps limitating the reaches of traditionally big sales months like during spring and summer seasons. And last, but definitely NOT LEAST, the strengthening of lending parameters.
This last one is obviously one of the most discussed issues around the mortgage riddle today. Both buyers and sellers, real estate firms, independent realtors, everybody… is blaming the strict standards to get a credit. In a recent artcile by Florida Realtors, the main complain was that many serious buyers are stopped by heavy financial requirements, and those who qualify are taking advantage of refinancing. And the call right now is that: be more flexible. We don’t have to get back to times when it was TOO flexible, but a balance can be found to give the opportunities to those who perhaps don’t have AAA qualifications with premium credit, but still can buy a property. Sales performed thru intermediaries help in building the confidence of the market by moving the capitals, not only between buyers and sellers, but between other financial institutions that lenders work with, and from them to the market.
Now, part of the riddle is also that although mortgage rates were expected to rise, the financial interedependence with European countries that fell in their debt crisis drove investors away from their unsecure markets, and back to the safe US Treasury bonds. Loan rates are attached to the rates offered by US Treasuy bonds. As demand for this type of papers goes up, the rates go down, and so happened.
It is surprising that sales haven’t matched the expectations that such rates created. However, we do have to consider the fact -at least for the case of Miami- that many sales are simply cash sales. Investors looking for middle and long term revenues in the attractive South Florida market are buying, and bulk-buying, in cash, let aside the efforts of financial institutions. But if you are one of those who can qualify for a typical 30-year fixed loan, then perhaps you need to check our offer of great condos and homes available at irresistible prices! Don’t get us wrong. This is a careful moment in our economy, but still there are a lot of ways to take advantage of moments like this.
The best way to put it is thinking of a house or an apartment as an investment, whether the plan is to sell it or not. It is anyways an investment, and thinking outside the box and in middle and long terms, are some of the keys to understand it. Also, knowing that prices are at a bottom right now, and are not expected to fall, helps in making a thoughtful decision.